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Europe: Regional economic outlook
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« San Francisco Fed President Yellen on economic outlook"War" with numbers? »

Europe: Regional economic outlook

11/28/07


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Europe: Regional economic outlook

Permalink 08:24:42 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com, 212 words   English (US)

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Categories: Economics Europe, Economics Global

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Regional Economic Outlook, Europe, IMF, November 2007

Key findings of the IMF outlook:

  • Strong fundamentals should allow to overcome the current turbulences quite well.
  • Nonetheless, growth is set to ease in 2008 in nearly all countries.
  • Protracted credit market tightness constitutes a key downside risk to this outlook, especially for advanced economies.
  • A continuing tightness of credit would have downsides for the real economy.
  • Emerging Europe has so far remained largely unscathed by the financial turbulence, owing to its limited reliance on interbank markets and complex financial products.
  • Risks for emerging Europe have also risen, especially for those countries that have been funding large current account imbalances with foreign bank borrowing.
  • In this regard, the financial turbulence may herald a healthy correction to past exuberance, bringing risk spreads closer to fundamentals, improving credit discipline, and helping to reduce external imbalances in emerging countries.
  • Central banks will have to continue to stand ready to provide liquidity to deal with systemic risks.
  • Looking further forward, the baseline forecast presumes these risks to dissipate gradually, and a further tightening may then be required.
  • Financial innovation has been and will remain an important source of strengthened performance.
  • However, a balanced review of prudential arrangements, financial safety nets, and crisis resolution mechanisms is necessary to strengthen their overall effectiveness.

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