Archives for: August 2011
08/31/11
Entrepreneurial capitalists are necessary more than ever!
Keywords: Bureaucracy, When Success is Demonized more »
NPR: Obama's New Economist Favors Tax Credits For Companies That Hire
, August 29, 2011
Alan Krueger, who President Obama today nominated to lead the White House Council of Economic Advisers, favors "the idea of having a new jobs tax credit" as one w… more »
August 30, 2011
Keywords: US Economy, US Monetary Policy more »
MIT analyzes thousands of goods continously. The MIT goods basket has not exactly the same composition as the basket of the official CPI statistics. MIT currently shows an inflation for the US which is higher than the officially reported one:Source:… more »
08/30/11
06:45:44 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com 
, 93 words 
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Jackson Hole Conference: Presentations, published on the Kansas City Fed homepage
Assessing Current Trends in Global Growth, by Dani Rodik (Harvard)
Balancing Growth with Equity, by Esther Duflo (MIT)
Achieving Growth Amid Fiscal Imbalances,… more »
WSJ: Look at Case-Shiller by Metro Area, August 30, 2011
S&P/Case-Shiller home-price data showed sideways movement in June, as prices were boosted from a month earlier thanks to seasonal factors but remained below year-ago levels.
The composite… more »
Bloomberg: Consumer Confidence in U.S. Sinks to Lowest Since ’09 on Economic Concerns, August 30, 2011Confidence among U.S. consumers plunged in August to the lowest in more than two years as Americans’ outlooks for employment, incomes and business… more »
Keywords: US Economy, US Monetary Policy more »
08:18:26 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 8 words
Categories: Economics Global, Economics Asia
August 30, 2011
Keywords: China, Chinese Economy, Chinese Monetary Policy more »
Project Syndicate: The Trouble with Eurobonds, by Hans-Werner Sinn, August 26, 2011
Instead of introducing another instrument for redistribution, Sinn believes that it is now time for the Euro countries in the South to clean up their public finances t… more »
08/29/11
06:14:32 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 147 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, Keith Kuester, and Juan Rubio-Ramírez, “Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity”, Univ. of Pennsylvania, August 2011
"We study the effects of changes in uncertainty about future scal policy o… more »
08/28/11
Keywords: Asset Bubbles, Monetary Policy more »
Find below an interesting link to a 2009 conversation between a Chengdu (China) local representative of World Bank's International Finance Corporation and a US delegation. In an open conversation, the local IFC representative admits that China might have… more »
Keywords: Economic Freedom, Quality of Life more »
Good NYT article from David Leonhardt in the latest weekend edition on the latest decision of the Fed not to immediately start with a QE3 program. David points out that the public conversation still matters in the Fed decision making process. And how it… more »
08/27/11
August 26, 2011Keywords: Sovereign Debt, Economic Growth more »
Keywords: Economics, History of Economics more »
09:56:26 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 47 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Menzie Chinn, an advocate for a policy which further weakens the dollar (arguing with fascinating charts):
Econbrowser: Dollar Watch, August 25, 2011.
A further depreciation of the dollar is not for the good of the American consumer and, of course… more »
09:18:01 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 77 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
the "Positives" and "Negatives" of this week. Unexpected positive and negative news are more or less in balance. Consistent austerity and fiscal policies in both the US and Europe could probably change things to the better quite quickly. Keywords:… more »
In his August 26, 2011, Jackson Hole speech, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke clearly communicated that there will be no immediate QE3. He passed the ball to politicians:The Economist: Passing the baton, August 26, 2011IN HIS Jackson Hole speech a year… more »
08/25/11
Project Syndicate: China’s New Currency Policy, by Martin Feldstein, August 23, 2011
China’s government may be about to let the renminbi-dollar exchange rate rise more rapidly in the coming months than it did during the past year. The exchange rate wa… more »
Voxeu: Eurobonds: Wrong solution for legal, political, and economic reasons, Daniel Gros, August 24, 2011
Eurobonds are being touted as the silver bullet to resolve the Eurozone crisis. This column argues that the Eurobonds proposal fails on legal, po… more »
08/24/11
Becker Posner Blog: Deserving and Undeserving Inequality–Becker
, August 22, 2011
During the past 25 years, inequality in the world has greatly declined mainly because of the rapid growth in incomes in large poorer nations, especially China, India, a… more »
Keywords: Capitalism, Myth more »
Welt: Is Ireland a model for how the West can recover? August 10, 2011Lower salaries and a well-structured bailout have made Ireland competitive again, though its export-driven growth is still vulnerable to the fallout of a reeling world economy. Loo… more »
Keywords: US Economy, Economic Policy more »
08/23/11
Could austerity build trust...Keywords: Irish Government Bond Yields, Italian Government Bond Yields more »
11:01:49 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 5 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
August 22, 2011
Keywords: Economic Growth, Stimulus more »
UBS-ByGeorge_The Convulsions of Political Economy2011!08!16(function() { var scribd = document.createElement("script"); scribd.type = "text/javascript"; scribd.async = true; scribd.src = "http://www.scribd.com/javascripts/embed_code/inject.js"; var s = d… more »
08/22/11
CNBC: Germany Must Decide What Kind of Euro It Wants: Jim O’Neill, August 22, 2011Keywords: Euro Crisis, Germany more »
08/21/11
Greece this Sunday called on the European Union to show leadership to stem a growing row among eurozone members over a deal under which Finland will receive collateral for fresh loans to Athens.Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos urged European official… more »
08:51:24 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com, 20 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Part 1:Part 2:Keywords: Entrepreneurship, Innovation, strong National Economies, Economic Growth, Predictable Political Institutions, Free Market Environment, Incentives for Risk Takers more »
08:18:57 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com, 190 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
NYT: The Sad Statistic That Trumps the Others, August 20,2011THERE’S been a lot of bad economic news lately, yet we may be overlooking the most disturbing development of all: our economic productivity has been weakening. This isn’t just a problem for… more »
Chile^s former finance minister and Columbia University visiting professor Andres Velasco is convinced that Eurbonds, in combination with intelligently designed fiscal rules, are the way to go for crisis resolution:Eurobonds without FearAndres Vela… more »
08/20/11
EuroIntelligence: The Big Cannoli, by Barry Eichengreen, Berkeley, August 17, 2011
While Europeans were off basking on the shores of the sunny Mediterranean, the crisis was not on holiday. If you’re back, reading this, you will know that while you w… more »
Keywords: 10 Year US Government Bond, Sovereign Bond Yields more »
09:10:02 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com, 5 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs senior investment strategist: NY Fed President William C. Dudley:layer" height="380" wid… more »
09:01:21 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com, 117 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Europe
Telegraph: Bond markets signal 'Japanese' slump for US and Europe, August 18, 2011
The global credit markets are braced for deflation and perhaps depression.
Panic flight to safety has pushed the yield on 10-year US Treasuries below 2pc for the fir… more »
08/19/11
Keywords: Debt Disaster, Uncertainty, Volatility more »
07:39:00 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 83 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
According to Prof. Steve Horwitz, one contemporary economic myth is that the cost of living has consistently risen for Americans over the past century. In fact, prices are higher today than they were 100 years ago. However, prices today have been heavily… more »
James Hamilton states that the US is "not dead yet":
Econbrowser: Not dead yet, August 17, 2011
but he mentions the fragile situation:
"There's still plenty to worry about, and deep anxiety by consumers and investors can be both an indicator of… more »
Morgan Stanley sees more difficult times ahead for the US and the EuroZone. They say that monetary policy could be further loosened but that measures to reduce sovereign debt are not sufficient. Inflation is currently definitely not a problem in slow gro… more »
08/18/11
The Tobin Tax is again on the table after the Merkel Sarkozy meeting:
Reuters Blog: Merkel and Sarkozy are right about a Tobin tax, August 17, 2011
The issue of such a tax has been raised again and again during the crisis, for example by the EU par… more »
08/17/11
Spiegel Online International: Debt Brakes Are the Best Way Out of The Crisis, August 11, 2011
Keywords: Sovereign Debt Crisis, Debt Limits more »
08/16/11
EuroIntelligence: “When the time is right”, August 16, 2011The debate on Eurobonds has reached fever pitch in Germany. Sueddeutsche Zeitung writes that the German government was now actively discussing Eurobonds internally. While Angela Merkel was st… more »
Reputed Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ) reports that more and more members of Angela Merkel's Christian Democratic Party (CDU) support the introduction of a Eurobond. Angela Merkel herself has opposed this step so far.Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeit… more »
Chatrath, Arjun, Dailing, Ryan , Miao, Hong and Ramchander, Sanjay, Currency Jumps, Cojumps and Trading Profits: Role of Macroeconomic Announcements (June 28, 2011). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1874486
Abstracts:
"This paper identif… more »
08/15/11
''MY NAME IS BOND..EUROBOND'' Jakob von Weizsäcker(function() { var scribd = document.createElement("script"); scribd.type = "text/javascript"; scribd.async = true; scribd.src = "http://www.scribd.com/javascripts/embed_code/inject.js"; var s = document.g… more »
Spiegel: Europe Pressures Merkel to Accept Euro Bonds, August 15, 2011Keywords: Eurobonds, European Union more »
03:36:38 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com, 7 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Keywords: Gold Standard, Bretton Woods, Monetary System more »
Un)happy Birthday, Fiat MoneyKeywords: Fiat Money, Central Banks more »
Source: Tim Iacono
Keywords: US Economy, US Consumer Sentiment, Michigan Consumer Index, S&P500 more »
MarketWatch: Japan’s economy shrinks less than feared; Post-earthquake GDP better than economists forecast, Aug. 14, 2011
On March 17, 2011, right after the dramatic Japanese earthquake, we posted various links to papers and articles which deal with r… more »
08/13/11
Tyler Cowen (George Mason University) sees deep economic problems in the US:
- stagnation of real wages since a long time
- not enough innovation
- education system has to be improved
- start up activity is at a too low level
Tyler makes an in… more »
Some good thoughts of entrepreneur and blogger Barry Ritholtz ("The Big Picture") on the US economy and government policies. He says that government should leave something behind (e.g. infrastructure) that is useful for the private economy.… more »
08:14:01 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 386 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
In this interesting paper the authors do research on the impact of cost savings and tax increases on growth. In tendency, they come to the conclusion that fiscal stimuli based upon tax cuts are more likely to increase growth than those based upon spendin… more »
08/12/11
Keywords: Budget Deficits, Sustainable Public Finances more »
Financial Times Deutschland: Schweiz könnte Franken an den Euro fesseln, August 11, 2011 more »
08/11/11
12:48:01 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 78 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
In the short term, a weak dollar is a tremendous support for the US economy. A further weakening of the dollar as compared to world's major currency and the Chinese yuan is the most likely scenario. The US will do almost everything to force a shift in tr… more »
11:42:38 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com, 120 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Europe, Economics Switzerland
Following graph shows the public expenditure quote (government spending as a percentage of GDP) of the US, Germany and Switzerland as well as government income. The picture for the US is dramatic. Even before the financial crisis the gap between public s… more »
Keywords: Tax Havens, Non-oppressive Governments more »
09:25:20 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 45 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Harvard economist Greg Mankiw says Fed Chairman Bernanke may use a price-level target to spur U.S. economic growth while minimizing fears of Japanese-style hyperinflation.
Youtube Video: In Fed's toolbox, one untested method remains: economist, August… more »
09:13:32 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 284 words
Categories: Economics Europe, Economics Switzerland
Spiegel Online International: What the Financial Crisis Means for Germany, August 9, 2011
Looking at the problems of the Eurozone, Germany can definitely not be considered as a safe haven:
"For the time being, Germany itself looks safe from attack… more »
Reuters: Goldman says QE3 likely after dovish Fed statement, August 10, 2011Goldman Sachs said on Wednesday a third round of quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve is likely after the U.S. Federal Reserve promised to keep rates at extraordinari… more »
08/10/11
This looks somehow familiar...
Pettis on China is a Must Read
Keywords: China, Chinese Economy more »
Spiegel gives a good overview of national debt levels in an interactive graph:
Click on the graph to go to the original page. The graph shows that there are still many nations which have reasonable debt levels. Maybe they should form a "Careful sp… more »
Several countries are on a currency-war to try to push their currencies to the bottom, a practice which has led in some ways to the crisis climate in the global economy, Dow Jones Newswires's Mike Casey reports.
August 9, 2011
Keywo… more »
NYT: The Downgrading of a Debtor Nation, by Menzie D. Chinn and Jeffry A. Frieden, August 8, 2011
"An economically responsible, politically feasible distribution of the costs of working our way out of the crisis will require higher taxes, a more effic… more »
Tim Iacono on the announcement to keep interest rates low through mid-2013:
"By promising to keep rates low gat least through mid-2013 in the policy statement released earlier today, the central bank assured the nationfs big banks of continuing to… more »
08/09/11
Keywords: Socialism, Role of the State more »
10:41:51 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 70 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Chinese government officials tell the US that they are addicted to debt. Looking at the US balance sheet they might not be that wrong in this case. Getting healed from this addiction means to reduce spending dramatically and to start to give more weight… more »
08/08/11
08:57:40 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 109 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global, Economics Asia
We currently hear hard words from Chinese media. This is a special one:
"Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the United States, as the world's sole superpower, has relied on its powerful military to meddle everywhere in international affairs … pay… more »
The Economist about China's economy surpassing the US', the power of a free market system, failing politicians in Washington and some hope that the US will now learn and implement the necessary measures... maybe staying ahead of China for some longer tim… more »
01:28:32 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 7 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Europe, Economics Global
July 29, 2011
Keywords:Sovereign Debt, US Deficit, EU Deficit more »
10:59:05 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 146 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Many economists and analysts expected a dramatic drop (or even crashes) of stock markets today, after US sovereign debt has been downgraded by S&P last Friday.It is not surprising that dramatic stock market drops did not occur so far. Most marke… more »
05:54:30 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 114 words
Categories: Economics Europe, Economics Global
Telegraph: European Central Bank to 'actively' buy bonds to fight eurozone debt crisis, August 7, 2011
The European Central Bank said on Sunday it would "actively implement" its bond-buying programme to fight the eurozone's debt crisis, signalling it… more »
05:46:51 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 204 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
The S&P downgrade is shaking America's economic opinion leaders such as the Bloomberg Editors. They talk of a "Dubious Downgrade" in an August 8 article. Find their argumentation here:Bloomberg: S&P’s Dubious Downgrade of U.S. Is a Reminder o… more »
08/07/11
09:46:48 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 34 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
An ideological approach to economic policy does definitely not bring us anywhere. A predictable, well balanced policy approach would:WSJ: Five False Premises about Economic Recovery, by Ha-Joon Chang, August 7, 2011Keywords: Economic Policy, Econom… more »
Ligthart, Jenny E. and Van Oudheusden, Peter, In Government We Trust: The Role of Fiscal Decentralization (June 16, 2011). CentER Working Paper Series No. 2011-073
Abstract:
"We measure the contribution of fiscal decentralization to trust in govern… more »
recorded in fall 2009Keywords: Individual Freedom, Government and Freedom more »
10:29:44 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 303 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global, Africa
NYT: Rating Cut of U.S. Debt Echoes the Nervousness of Global Markets, by Binyamin Appelbaum, August 6, 2011The Standard & Poor’s decision to downgrade the credit rating of the United States for the first time echoed the nervousness of global mar… more »
08/06/11
04:00:56 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 41 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Kennneth Rogoff suggests that dumping the "Great Recession" label immediately and replace it with "Great Contraction" could be a first step to do better:
Project Syndicate: The Second Great Contraction, by Kenneth Rogoff, August 2, 2011
Keywords: U… more »
July 5, 2011
Keywords: S&P, US Debt Downgrading more »
10:15:39 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 39 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
The New York Times about the US debt downgrading:
NYT: S.& P. Cuts U.S. Debt Rating for First Time, Aug. 5, 2011
Tyler Cowen on the downgrading:
Tyler Cowen
Paul Krugman on the downgrading:
Paul Krugman
Keywords: S&P, US Debt Do… more »
08/04/11
Project Syndicate: The Root of All Sovereign-Debt Crises, Amar Bhidé and Edmund S. Phelps, August 4, 2011
The Greek debt crisis has prompted questions about whether the euro can survive without a nearly unimaginable centralization of fiscal policy. T… more »
08/03/11
August 2, 2011
Keywords: Economy, Global Economy more »
11:41:10 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com, 5 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
words: US Economy, US Dollar more »
Congressman Ron Paul on his homepage:
When a Cut is Not a Cut
One might think that the recent drama over the debt ceiling involves one side wanting to increase or maintain spending with the other side wanting to drastically cut spending, but that… more »
Becker Posner Blog: Immediate and Medium Term Debt and Deficit Problems-Becker, August 1, 2011
Keywords: US Debt, US Deficit Reduction more »
08/02/11
M3 is backSource: nowandfuturesM3, longer term chartSource: nowandfuturesKeywords: US Monetary Policy, M3 more »
Vox: Germany’s capital exports under the euro, by Hans-Werner Sinn, August 2, 2011 more »
08/01/11
Find following an interesting article (in German language) in the FAZ about bubbles. Author Joachim Voth explains that bubbles are often the result of wrong regulations which lead to market distortions:
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung: Blasen gibt es i… more »
eywords: China, Chinese Economy, Currencies more »
Luigi Zingales (U. of Chicago) and Roberto Perotti (Bocconi) state in a Bloomberg article, that the latest effort by European policy makers to contain the debt crisis offers only temporary relief for the euro area. They believe that the currently propose… more »
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BIS Quarterly Review, Case Shiller Index, IFO Outlook, Institute for Supply Management, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, Philadelphia Fed Regional Index,ECONOMIC INDICATORS AND OUTLOOKS (click on names):
George A. Akerlof, Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard, Alan S. Blinder, Buffett, Tyler Cowen, Niall Ferguson, Bruno S. Frey, Milton Friedman, Herb Greenberg, Greenspan, Michael Jensen, L.S. Karp, Charles Kindleberger, Krugman, Gregory Mankiw, Robert C. Merton, Nouriel Roubini, Kenneth Rogoff, Carmen Reinhart, David Rubenstein, Schumpeter, Anna Schwartz, Amartya Sen, Robert J. Shiller, Jeremy Siegel, Hans-Werner Sinn, George Soros, Joseph Stiglitz, Paul Volcker, Martin Wolf, Janet Yellen, Luigi Zingales, _________________________________________________________________________________RECOMMENDED SEARCH NAMES(click on names):
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LEADING ECONOMISTS DEBATE THE CRISIS:
BLOGROLL
ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS:ECONOMICS, LAW AND POLITICS:
- Argmax
- Atlanta Fed Macro Blog
- austrianeconomists
- The Becker Posner Blog
- Grasping Reality with both hands
- The Big Picture
- Brookings Institution - Economics
- Calculated Risk Blogspot
- Chicago Boyz
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- City Economist
- Coyote Blog: Dispatches from a small Business
- Conscious of a Liberal
- The Curious Capitalist (Time CNN)
- Econbrowser
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- Economist's view
- Economics Roundtable
- Euro Area Blog
- Fama/French Forum
- Freakonomics
- Eurointelligence
- Jeffrey Frankels Weblog
- Group of Thirty
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- Institutional Economics
- Japanese Institute of Global Communication (GLOCOM)
- Knowledge Wharton
- MarginalRevolution
- Asymmetrical Information
- MISH'S Global Economic Trend Analysis
- Morgan Stanley Global Economic Forum:
- Naked Capitalism
- New Economist
- Newmark's Door
- Princeton University Press Blog
- RGE Monitor
- PSDBlog(Worldbank)
- The Knowledge Problem:
- The Mess That Greenspan Made
- Oekonomenstimme.org
- Ordnungspolitik.ch
- VOX
- World Economic Forum Weblog
_________________________________________________________________________________ECONOMIES:
STATISTICS SOURCES:
- Econometric Laboratory UC Berkeley
- Dataranking.com: Economic and social Data Ranking
- International Economic Growth Data Set (many useful statistics links, University of Bristol)
- Nationmaster (comprehensive country stat. data)
- US Dept. of Labor: Bureau of Labor Statistics
- US Govt Business Statistics
- US Regional Economic Data
- EuroStat: comprehensive European Statistical Data
- Metrics 2.0: Business & Market Intelligence
- RBA: huge Number of Links to Statistical Sources
- Various Links to Statistical Pages
- Ireland Business Facts (incl. economic Global Data)
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK:
- Census Bureau (US)
- International Economic Indicators
- Moody's
- Standard & Poor's
- Statistisches Bundesamt (Germany)
- UK Government Treasury
- White House
- World Economic Outlook (IMF)
THINK TANKS:
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- Avenir Suisse
- Deutsche Gesellschaft für auswärtige Politik
- European Institute of Interdisciplinary Research
- Council on Foreign Relations
- Globalisation Institute
- Hoover Institution
- Swiss Institute for International Studies
- Freilich: Liberal Swiss Weblog
- Think Tanks and Public Interest Org. (US)
GLOBALIZATION:
- Carnegie Endowment: Globalization (Learning Tool)
- Dani Rodik (Harvard Prof. on Globalization)
- How to save globalization from its cheer leaders, Dani Rodrik (Harvard)
- Emory: The Globalization Website
- Global Envision
- The Globalist
- Harvard: Global Trade Negotiations Homepage
- International Forum on Globalization
- Internationale Politik (DGAP)
- OECD Economics Department
- UCLA: The Globalization Research Center Africa
- Worldbank: Globalization
- WTO
- YaleGlobal Online
LINKS TO SELECTED WORKING PAPER SITES:
- Berkeley: BRIE Working Papers
- Berkeley Finance: Working Papers
- Cambridge CBR: Publications
- Chicago GSB: Working Papers
- Columbia Business: e-Library
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- Reserve Bank of Australia: Publications & Research
- German Fed: Discussion Papers
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- Banque France: Publications and Research
- Swiss National Bank: Working Papers
- Atlanta Fed
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