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"The Next President Is Lucky"
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« EU unit labour costs - re-adjustment process underwayOctober 2012 global manufacturing activity »

"The Next President Is Lucky"

11/07/12


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"The Next President Is Lucky"

Permalink 06:04:30 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 171 words   English (US)

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Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global

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The Next President Is Lucky; Whoever wins the election will get to preside over a growing economy and look like a genius, Nov. 5, 2012

..."The key reason jobs will almost certainly grow at at least a tepid rate is monetary policy. Ellis Tallman and Saeed Zaman have shown in research for the Cleveland Federal Reserve bank that the kind of objective economic conditions that existed in 2009 would have justified a federal funds rate of minus 5 percent—if such a thing were possible. But it’s not possible for the Fed to set nominal interest rates below zero, and the Fed hasn’t been willing to try to raise its inflation target to reduce real interest rates. Consequently, with interest rates stuck at zero, we got exactly what you would expect in a country where the central bank sets rates five percentage points too high—soaring unemployment and a sluggish recovery."

Kewords: US Economy, Economic Growth, Monetary Policy

Countercyclical monetary policy.. proof of concept has to follow.
Philippe Aghion CERGE-EI Lecture "Monetary Policy, Liquidity and Growth" 11 June 2012

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