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12/31/13


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Why Buffett bought newspapers

Permalink 10:42:45 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 114 words   English (US)

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Categories: News, Media

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HBS Cases: What Warren Buffett Saw in Newspapers, by Deborah Blagg, Dec. 30, 2013

Quotes in article:

Buffett: "In Grand Island, Nebraska, everyone is interested in how the football team does. They're interested in who got married. They're maybe even more interested in who got divorced."

Prof. Benjamin C. Esty (Harvard): "In retrospect, his targeting just the smaller papers is a big clue about his forecast for the industry. Unlike regionals or big-city papers, small-town newspapers don't have a lot of competition or good substitutes."

read the whole article by clicking here

Keywords: Media, Newspapers, Warren Buffett

Related:

Buffett will definitely also face major challenges:

Reflections of a Newsosaur, Local news rivals doom publisher pay walls


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"Policies focused exclusively on attracting ‘anchor tenants’ or cultivating new ventures may not be as effective as those promoting a mix of large and small firms"

Permalink 10:28:55 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 104 words   English (US)

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Categories: Entrepreneurship/Leadership/Innovation

Ajay K. Agrawal, Iain M. Cockburn, Alberto Galasso, Alexander Oettl, Why some regions are more innovative than others, 23 December 2013

Many regions struggle to attract innovation activity. This column discusses new evidence suggesting that there is no universal ‘best’ policy. Policies focused exclusively on attracting ‘anchor tenants’ or cultivating new ventures may not be as effective as those promoting a mix of large and small firms. Regions with large firms but few young entrepreneurial firms may benefit from policies that cultivate new ventures, while those without large firms may benefit most from policies that attract some. read more on Vox

Keywords: Innovation, Entrepreneurial Activity, Entrepreneurship

12/26/13

Permalink 09:47:50 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 129 words   English (US)
Categories: Investment, Academic

Sato, Yuki, Opacity in Financial Markets (September 7, 2013). Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 13-63. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2371384

Abstract:

This paper studies the implications of opacity in financial markets for investor behavior, asset prices, and welfare. Transparent funds (e.g. mutual funds) and opaque funds (e.g. hedge funds) trade transparent assets (e.g. plain-vanilla products) and opaque assets (e.g. structured products). Investors can observe neither opaque funds' portfolios nor opaque assets' payoff s. Consistent with empirical observations, an "opacity premium" arises: opaque assets trade at a premium over transparent ones despite identical payoffs. This is accompanied by endogenous market segmentation: transparent (opaque) assets are traded only by transparent (opaque) funds. The opacity premium incentivizes financial engineers to render transparent assets opaque deliberately. Source: SSRN

Keywords: Opacity, asset Prices, Moral Hazard, Signal Jamming

12/22/13

Permalink 09:24:37 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 123 words   English (US)
Categories: Statistics, Regulation

Bozkaya, Ant and Kerr, William R., Labor Regulations and European Venture Capital (December 11, 2013). Bank of Finland Research Discussion Paper No. 30/2013. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2369281

Abstract:

"European nations substitute between employment protection regulations and labor market expenditures (e.g., unemployment insurance benefits) for providing worker insurance. Employment regulations more directly tax firms making frequent labor adjustments than other labor market insurance mechanisms. Venture capital investors are especially sensitive to these labor adjustment costs. Nations favoring labor market expenditures as the mechanism for providing worker insurance developed stronger venture capital markets over 1990-2008, especially in high volatility sectors. In this context, policy mechanisms are more important than the overall level of worker insurance." Source: SSRN

Keywords: Employment Protection Regulations, Unemployment Insurance Benefits, Private Equity, Venture Capital, Entrepreneurship

12/21/13

Permalink 09:43:16 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 331 words   English (US)
Categories: Analysts, Investment, Academic

Clare, Andrew and Seaton, James and Smith, Peter N. and Thomas, Steve, European Equity Investing Through the Financial Crisis: Can Risk Parity, Momentum or Trend Following Help to Reduce Tail Risk? (July 25, 2013). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2368208 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2368208

Abstract:

"A growing body of literature suggests that over widely varying historical eras and across a wide range of asset classes momentum investing, often accompanied by a trend following overlay, provides superior risk-adjusted returns. We examine the effectiveness of applying these methodologies to pan-European equity asset allocation through periods of potentially substantial market dislocation, in particular, with the advent of the single currency and the equity market crashes of the early 2000’s and 2008. With the introduction of the Euro there has been much discussion of the benefits of diversification via country based portfolios versus industry sector portfolios. Early studies simply looked at changing return correlations over time. The simple conclusion that increasing country correlations over time drives superior risk-adjusted portfolios towards diversification across sectors has been increasingly challenged. Our approach is different in that we apply momentum and trend following investing strategies and assess whether it is sectoral or country indices which dominate our portfolios through periods of structural changes and extreme volatility. Diversification via sectors is clearly the best strategy in times of equity market stress. In addition, the application of trend following offers a substantial improvement in risk-adjusted performance compared to traditional buy-and-hold portfolios. The terms momentum and trend following have often been used interchangeably although the former is a relative concept and the latter absolute. By combining the two we find that one can achieve the higher return levels associated with momentum portfolios but with much reduced volatility, tail risk and drawdowns due to trend following. We observe that a flexible asset allocation strategy that allocates capital to the best performing instruments irrespective of asset class enhances this further. Such methodologies offer superior risk adjusted returns, especially through periods of raised market volatility." Source: SSRN

Keywords: Trend Following, Momentum Investing

12/20/13

Permalink 04:46:55 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 7 words   English (US)
Categories: Investment










Keywords: Monetary Policy, Stock Market, Quantitative Easing

12/17/13

Permalink 05:21:21 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 188 words   English (US)
Categories: Central Banks/Government

Financial Times: US Federal Reserve: The Bernanke years, By Robin Harding, Dec. 15, 2013

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It was a drizzly day in Washington when Ben Bernanke went to his confirmation hearing in November 2005, but all seemed bright for the US economy. Growth was on track to hit 3 per cent. House prices had another five months left to rise.

High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Email ftsales.support@ft.com to buy additional rights.

The assembled senators felt indulgent towards the modest academic – variously described by the media as bearded, or sometimes whiskered – seated in front of them. “A superb appointment,” said Richard Shelby, the Republican committee chair. “Tremendously impressive,” agreed Chris Dodd, his Democratic counterpart.
read more in the Financial Times

Keywords: Monetary Policy, Fed, Ben Bernanke, US Economy

12/12/13


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How Much Redistribution Is Enough?

Permalink 07:29:44 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 323 words   English (US)

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Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global

Investors.com: How Much Redistribution Is Enough? Dec. 10, 2013

"Income Gap: As President Obama laments America's growing income inequality, a new government report shows the futility of his calls for ever-more wealth redistribution.

To deflect attention from ObamaCare's failures, the president this month trotted out his income inequality chestnut. "A dangerous and growing inequality," he intoned, "has jeopardized middle-class America's basic bargain."

He argued, "as a trickle-down ideology became more prominent, taxes were slashed for the wealthiest, while investments in things that make us all richer, like schools and infrastructure, were allowed to wither."

Apparently, nobody bothered to brief the president before he delivered this speech. Fact is, federal transportation spending has climbed 39% in real terms since 1980, and spending on education has more than doubled.

And while Obama claims taxes were "slashed for the wealthiest," the average tax rate among the top 1% was higher in 2010 than in the early 1980s.

Meanwhile, a new Congressional Budget Office report shows that the government is already a massive wealth redistribution machine.

The CBO study breaks down the country by income into five equal groups, or quintiles. It found the top 40% paid more than 100% of all the income taxes, while the bottom 40% had a negative income tax. These families got more money through various refundable tax credits, on average, than they paid in income taxes.

Even when you include payroll and other federal taxes, the poorest group paid just 0.4% of all federal taxes, while the wealthiest paid 70%.

And this doesn't include transfer programs like food stamps, disability, welfare, Medicaid, Medicare and Social Security. These too are heavily tilted to the poor.

All together, the CBO found that families in the lowest income group earned an average of $8,100 on their own. But they received an average of $22,700 through federal transfer programs, net of taxes. In other words, the federal government more than tripled their income."
read more on Investors.com (powered by Investor's Business Daily

Keywords: Wealth re-destribution, Taxes, Social Welfare

12/11/13

Permalink 07:44:01 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 163 words   English (US)
Categories: Investment

WSJ: "2 and 20" Fading, Managers Need Big Assets or Performance to Profit: Citi Prime Finance Survey, Dec. 9, 2013

The business of hedge funds is caught between rising costs and falling management fees, holding little profit for managers who don't perform. That's one key finding from the second annual global survey of the economics of hedge funds in the just-released Citi Prime Finance 2013 Business Expense Benchmark Survey.

According to the survey, the traditional "2 and 20" model of investment manager compensation -- 2% management fee and 20% of the profits -- has declined to fee levels as low as 1.58% of assets under management for all but the largest managers. As a result, hedge fund managers, unlike their counterparts in traditional, long-only funds, barely break even simply collecting fees. For example, after paying expenses, funds with $500 million in AUM realize operating margins of 69 basis points, rising to 82 basis points for a manager overseeing $900 million, survey data show.
read more in the Wall Street Journal

Keywords: Alternative Assets, Hedge Funds, Management Fees, Performance Fees

12/10/13

Permalink 07:33:25 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 19 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

12/09/13

Permalink 07:15:29 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 173 words   English (US)
Categories: Entrepreneurship/Leadership/Innovation

San Jose Mercury News: Volkswagen, Lego and the 'Beer Garage': Big corporations rushing to partner with Silicon Valley Startups, Dec. 4, 2013

Home Depot, Anheuser Busch and soap giant Unilever may not seem like the kinds of companies that live on the cutting edge of technology. But they're among a fast-growing number of consumer brands that are setting up shop in the Bay Area with new venture capital funds and startup dens.

They come here to find better ways to develop products. They learn how to reach and read consumers in the brave new world of social media. And they also come with checkbooks ready: While corporate tech investing flagged in the wake of the dot-com bust -- from $20 billion a year in 2000 to less than $2 billion a decade later -- in recent years it's come back with a vengeance. Through the first nine months of this year, corporate VCs have collectively invested more than $5 billion, according to one recent estimate.
read more in the San Jose Mercury News

Keywords: Entrepreneurship, Innovation, Start-ups, Silicon Valley, Technology, Marketing

12/08/13










Kewords: Monetary Policy, Cheap Money, Asset Inflation, Byron Wien, Jeremy Siegel

12/05/13

Permalink 06:50:15 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 208 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics Global

The Wall Street Journal: Romain Hatchuel: The Coming Global Wealth Tax, Indebted governments may soon consider a big one-time levy on capital assets, Dec. 3, 2013

..."Between 2008 and 2012, several of the developed world's most fiscally challenged nations (including the United Kingdom, Ireland and Spain) increased top personal income tax rates by an average of 8%. In the United States, the expiration of the Bush tax cuts pushed the highest federal income tax bracket to 39.6% from 35%.

What the IMF calls "revenue-maximizing top income tax rates" may be a good indication of how much further those rates could rise: As the IMF calculates, the average revenue-maximizing rate for the main Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development countries is around 60%, way above existing levels.

For the U.S., it is 56% to 71%—far more than the current 45% paid in federal, state and local taxes by those in the top tax bracket. The IMF singles out the U.S. as the country where raising top rates toward 70% (where they were before the Reagan tax cuts) would yield the most revenue—around 1.25% of GDP. And with a chilling candor, the IMF admits that its revenue-maximizing approach takes no account of the well-being of top earners (or their businesses)."....
read more in The Wall Street Journal

Keywords: Over-indebted Nations, Wealth Taxes

12/02/13

Permalink 09:52:57 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 170 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics Europe

Knowledge Wharton: Is Secession the Answer? The Case of Catalonia, Flanders and Scotland, Dec. 2, 2013

In Scotland, residents will vote next September on whether their homeland should become an independent country or remain part of the United Kingdom. In Catalonia, Spain, provincial president Artur Mas has called for a referendum on whether Catalonia should become a sovereign state. And in the Belgian province of Flanders, the leader of the ruling party has called for negotiations that would “enable both Flanders and French-speaking Wallonia to look after their own affairs.”

Although the economic integration of Western Europe has proceeded at a rapid pace in recent decades, the political borders of the region have remained almost entirely unchanged since the end of World War II. And yet, “there is the real possibility of one or several national divorces being initiated in Western Europe in 2014,” notes Nicholas Siegel, senior program officer at the Transatlantic Academy, a U.S.-European think-tank based in Washington, D.C.
read more on Knowledge Wharton

Keywords: Europe, Secession, Scotland, Catalonia, Flanders

Permalink 07:15:53 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 20 words   English (US)
Categories: Investment

Source: BlackRock

go and read more analysis on the BlackRock internet page

Keywords: Returns, Investment Performance, Bonds, Stocks, Dividend Yields

11/30/13

Permalink 08:01:37 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 160 words   English (US)
Categories: Investment

a positive development as they, by definition, should focus on prosperous long-term development of the firms they invested in.

Dealbook New York Times: Some Big Public Pension Funds Are Behaving Like Activist Investors, Nov. 28, 2013

Activist investors like Carl C. Icahn, Daniel S. Loeb and William A. Ackman are getting deep-pocketed imitators.

Some of the biggest public pension funds, which have sought to influence companies for years, are now starting to emulate these investors by engaging with, and sometimes seeking to oust, directors of companies whose stock they own.

Anne Simpson, director of corporate governance at the California Public Employees’ Pension Fund, the largest United States pension plan with $279 billion in assets, says “board coups” this year that led to the departure of directors at Hewlett-Packard, JPMorgan Chase and Occidental Petroleum show “how shareholder activism is evolving from barbarians at the gate to acting like owners.”
read more in The New York Times

Keywords: Pension Funds, Shareholder Activism, Pension Fund Performance

11/28/13

Permalink 01:31:24 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 78 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

In Fed Policy, the Exit Music May Be Hard to Hear, by G. Mankiw, Nov. 23, 2013

Is it time for the Federal Reserve to start its exit from the extraordinary set of policies it has pursued over the past few years? That crucial question is on the minds of the nation’s central bankers, as well as the stock and bond traders who follow the Fed’s every move. read more in the New York Times

Keywords: Monetary Policy, Fed, Exit

11/23/13

Permalink 07:46:11 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 322 words   English (US)
Categories: Valuation, Statistics, Performance Measurement

Robert S. Harris, Tim Jenkinson, Steven N. Kaplan and Ruediger Stucke, Has Persistence Persisted in Private Equity? Evidence From Buyout and Venture Capital Funds, Chicago Booth, April 2013

Abstract

"The conventional wisdom for investors in private equity funds is to invest in partnerships that have performed well in the past, so-called top quartile funds. This conventional wisdom is based on the belief that performance in private equity persists across funds for the same partnership. We present new evidence on the persistence of U.S. private equity (buyout and venture capital)
funds using a new research-quality dataset from Burgiss, sourced from over 200 institutional investors. Using detailed cash-flow data for funds, we study the persistence of buyout and venture capital fund performance of the same general partners across different funds. We pay particular attention to persistence pre- and post-2000. Previous research, studying largely pre-2000 data, has found strong persistence for both buyout and venture capital firms.
We confirm the previous findings on persistence in pre-2000 funds. There is significant persistence for buyout funds and, particularly for venture funds.
Post-2000, we find mixed evidence of persistence in buyout funds. When funds are sorted by the quartile of performance of their previous funds, performance of the current fund is statistically indistinguishable regardless of quartile. Returns for partnerships in all previous fund quartiles, including the bottom, exceed those of public markets as measured by the S&P 500. At the same time, however, regression estimates do find that current fund performance is significantly related to previous fund performance.
Post-2000, we find that performance in venture capital funds remains as statistically and economically persistent as pre-2000. Partnerships whose previous funds are below the median for their vintage year subsequently tend to be below median and have returns below those of the public markets (S&P 500). Partnerships in the top two quartiles tend to stay above the median and their returns exceed those of the public markets."

Keywords: Private Equity, Private Equity Performance, IRR

Permalink 07:15:52 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 73 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

US Public Pension Funds would have to achieve "impressive" future returns to close the funding gap. The US is definitely not alone. Other nations' public pension funds would show similar pictures. A 20-year snapshot of BlackRock shows that such returns are hardly achievable in a well diversified portfolio. Only top quartile private equity funds would systematically come close to such returns.

Source: Zero Hedge

Keywords: US Public Pension Funds, Pension Funds Funding Gap

11/20/13

Permalink 07:40:14 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 81 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

The New Yorker: American Inequality in Six Charts, Nov. 18, 2013

Charts of the article in The New Yorker come from Emmanuel Saez, of Berkeley, which shows the share of pre-tax income enjoyed by the top one per cent of earners over the period from 1913 to 2012. The data, which comes from the Internal Revenue Service, is for market income: it includes realized capital gains but excludes government transfers. see charts and article in The New Yorker

Keywords: Income Distribution, Wealth Distribution, Gini Coefficient

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