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Summary of business news and analysis

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Pages: << 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 ... 314 >>

08/15/13


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Investing when interest rates are rising

Permalink 07:32:54 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 202 words   English (US)

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Categories: Investment

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The Capital Spectator: Thinking About Investing When Interest Rates Are Rising, August 14, 2013

"The benchmark 10-year Treasury Note yield is near a one-year high. The upward bias of late is a reminder, albeit a mild one at the moment, that the long-anticipated run of higher interest rates has arrived. All the usual caveats apply, but we’ve probably seen the bottom in rates. This isn’t the end of the world, but it's the start of a new era.

What are the implications of higher interest rates? By some accounts, the change tempts predictions of a world that’s patently unfriendly to risky assets. No doubt there’ll be times in the years ahead when that scenario applies. Then again, it's worth remembering that risky assets weren't always immune to trouble when interest rates were generally falling in years past. In any case, we’ve lived in a world where rates have been trending lower for more than three decades, and so the prospect of reversing this move conjures all sorts of dire possibilities. It would be naïve to dismiss the dark forecasts entirely, but much depends of how quickly rates rise and under what economic conditions."
read more on The Capital Spectator

Keywords: Interest Rate, Treasury Yield

08/12/13


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UC Berkeley: US$ 3 billion fund raising campaign for innovation in engineering

Permalink 10:35:33 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 46 words   English (US)

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Categories: Information Technology, Medical Technology, Innovation
Permalink 10:37:10 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 4 words   English (US)
Categories: Media

Keywords: Google, Google Glass


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US population distribution by age, 1900 through 2060 (animated)

Permalink 07:59:46 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 53 words   English (US)

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Categories: Economics United States

Calculated Risk provides an animated chart above of America’s population distribution by age from 1900 through 2060 (updates every seconds in five-year intervals), based on population data from the Census Bureau (actual data through 2010 and projections through 2060).

click here to go to the blog post by Calculated Risk and animated chart:

Keywords: Population, Population Distribution

08/11/13

Permalink 09:16:17 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 8 words   English (US)
Categories: Media

Keywords: Jeff Bezos, Media, Online, Print, Washington Post

Permalink 08:56:42 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 156 words   English (US)
Categories: Media

eMarketer: Digital Set to Surpass TV in Time Spent with US Media, August 1, 2013

"Average time spent with digital media per day will surpass TV viewing time for the first time this year, according to eMarketer’s latest estimate of media consumption among US adults.

The average adult will spend over 5 hours per day online, on nonvoice mobile activities or with other digital media this year, eMarketer estimates, compared to 4 hours and 31 minutes watching television. Daily TV time will actually be down slightly this year, while digital media consumption will be up 15.8%.

The most significant growth area is on mobile. Adults will spend an average of 2 hours and 21 minutes per day on nonvoice mobile activities, including mobile internet usage on phones and tablets—longer than they will spend online on desktop and laptop computers, and nearly an hour more than they spent on mobile last year."

see graphs on original source eMarketer

Keywords: Media, Online, Internet, Print, Digital, TV


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Direct investing in private equity versus investing through intermediaries

Permalink 08:04:54 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 180 words   English (US)

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Categories: Deals, Investment Strategy, Market Characteristics

Fang, Lily H., Ivashina, Victoria and Lerner, Josh, The Disintermediation of Financial Markets: Direct Investing in Private Equity (August 2013). NBER Working Paper No. w19299. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2308268

Abstract:

"One of the important issues in corporate finance is the rationale for and role of financial intermediaries. In the private equity setting, institutional investors are increasingly eschewing intermediaries in favor of direct investments. To understand the trade-offs in this setting, we compile a proprietary dataset of direct investments from seven large institutional investors. We find that solo investments by institutions outperform co-investments and a wide range of benchmarks for traditional private equity partnership investments. The outperformance is driven by deals where informational problems are not too severe, such as more proximate transactions to the investor and later-stage deals, and by an ability to avoid the deleterious effects on returns often seen in periods with large inflows into the private equity market. The poor performance of co-investments, on the other hand, appears to result from fund managers’ selective offering of large deals to institutions for co-investing."

Keywords: Private Equity, Private Equity Intermediates

08/10/13

Permalink 09:17:31 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 46 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

Motley Fool: 3 Economic Stories That Get Blown Out of Proportion, August 6, 2013

Overblown story No. 1: Student loans now exceed credit card loans
Overblown story No. 2: The recovery is being driven by part-time jobs
Overblown story No. 3: The pension crisis

Keywords: Recovery, Job Creation, Pension Obligation, Student Loans

08/09/13

Business Insider: GOLDMAN: The 8 Extraordinary Technologies Forcing Businesses To Adapt Or Die, August 8, 2013

Creative Destroyer 1: E-Cigarettes
Creative destroyer 2: Cancer Immunotherapy
Creative Destroyer 3: LEDs
Creative Destroyer 4: Alternative Capital In The Reinsurance Market
Creative Destroyer 6: Software-Defined Networking
Creative Destroyer 5: Natural Gas Engines
Creative Destroyer 7: 3D Printing
Creative Destroyer 8: Big Data

read the details on Goldman's prediction on Business Insider

Keywords: Creative Destruction, Innovation

We believe that some more very powerful destroyers could be imaginable. What about robotics in agricultural base work or companies like Apple and Google going into banking?

08/08/13

Permalink 07:14:24 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 4 words   English (US)
Categories: Industrial Firms

Keywords: Tesla, Electric Car

Harris, Robert S., Jenkinson, Tim, Kaplan, Steven N. and Stucke, Rüdiger, Has Persistence Persisted in Private Equity? Evidence from Buyout and Venture Capital Funds (April 1, 2013). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2304808

Abstract:

"The conventional wisdom for investors in private equity funds is to invest in partnerships that have performed well in the past, so-called top quartile funds. This conventional wisdom is based on the belief that performance in private equity persists across funds for the same partnership. We present new evidence on the persistence of U.S. private equity (buyout and venture capital) funds using a new research-quality dataset from Burgiss, sourced from over 200 institutional investors. Using detailed cash-flow data for funds, we study the persistence of buyout and venture capital fund performance of the same general partners across different funds. We pay particular attention to persistence pre- and post-2000. Previous research, studying largely pre-2000 data, has found strong persistence for both buyout and venture capital firms.

We confirm the previous findings on persistence in pre-2000 funds. There is significant persistence for buyout funds and, particularly for venture funds.

Post-2000, we find mixed evidence of persistence in buyout funds. When funds are sorted by the quartile of performance of their previous funds, performance of the current fund is statistically indistinguishable regardless of quartile. Returns for partnerships in all previous fund quartiles, including the bottom, exceed those of public markets as measured by the S&P 500. At the same time, however, regression estimates do find that current fund performance is significantly related to previous fund performance.

Post-2000, we find that performance in venture capital funds remains as statistically and economically persistent as pre-2000. Partnerships whose previous funds are below the median for their vintage year subsequently tend to be below median and have returns below those of the public markets (S&P 500). Partnerships in the top two quartiles tend to stay above the median and their returns exceed those of the public markets."

Source: SSRN

Keywords: Private Equity, Venture Capital

08/07/13

Permalink 07:01:12 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 24 words   English (US)
Categories: Analysts, Media

Source: Carpe Diem AEI

read a detailed interpretation on Mark Perry's blog at American Enterprise Institute

Keywords: Media, Newspaper, Print Media, Online Media, Advertising

08/06/13

Permalink 07:10:50 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 39 words   English (US)
Categories: Investment, Valuation, Bonds

Source: LibertyStreet - New York Fed

Read more detailed analysis on the New York Fed homepage:

New York Fed: The Recent Bond Market Selloff in Historical Perspective, by Tobias Adrian and Michael Fleming, August 5, 2013

Keywords: Bonds, Bond Prices, Selloff Bonds

Permalink 06:51:25 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 156 words   English (US)
Categories: Media

Tech Crunch: What Did Bezos Actually Buy?

Jeff Bezos, not Amazon, is dropping $250 million in cash to purchase the venerable Washington Post. But it’s not only the paper that Bezos is picking up for his quarter billion. As part of the purchase, the Amazon founder will also become owner of a host of smaller local papers, the Washington Post website, and a printing outfit by the name of Comprint that the Post itself notes “publishes several military publications.”

That’s a slurry. In short, Bezos now owns a minor newspaper empire, crowned with the Washington Post itself.

But just how healthy are the assets that Bezos has purchased? Let’s take a trip through the numbers. Keep in mind that the Washington Post company is only so specific in its breakdown of revenue from its newspaper division. So, our looking glass is slightly dim.
read more on Tech Crunch

Keywords: Washington Post, Jeff Bezos, Online Media, Print Media

08/05/13

Permalink 07:06:21 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 6 words   English (US)
Categories: Analysts, Investment

Keywords: Yield, Stock Market, Bond Market

Permalink 07:04:28 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 100 words   English (US)
Categories: Analysts, Investment

Have a look at the great charts on the blog "The Short Side of Long":

The Short Side of Long: Weekend Sentiment Summary (July Week 4)

AAII survey readings came in at 45% bulls and 23% bears. Bullish readings fell by 3% while bearish readings rose by 1%. The AAII bull ratio (4 week average) currently stands at 68%, which indicates very high optimism amongst the retail investment community. According to my own data, this is usually a "sell signal" zone for this indicator. see much more analysis and great charts on "The Short Side of Long"

Keywords: Assets, Stock Market, Commodity Markets, Bond Market, Market Sentiment

08/04/13

Permalink 10:19:14 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 5 words   English (US)
Categories: Media, Innovation

Keywords: Smartphones, Samsung, Moto X

Permalink 09:56:52 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 22 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

Source: St. Louis Fed

Keywords: Government Employment, Federal Administration

Related:

Econbrowser on the development of government employment during the current financial crisis

08/03/13

Permalink 05:33:43 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 180 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global

Tyler Atkinson, David Luttrell, Harvey Rosenblum, How Bad Was It? The Costs and Consequences of the 2007–09 Financial Crisis, Staff Papers, Dallas Fed, July 2013

Abstract

The 2007-2009 financial crisis was associated with a huge loss of economic output and financial wealth, psychological consequences and skill atrophy from extended unemployment, an increase in government intervention, and other significant costs. Assuming the financial crisis is to blame for these associated ills, an estimate of its cost is needed to weigh against the cost of policies intended to prevent similar episodes. We conservatively estimate that 40 to 90 percent of one years output ($6 trillion to $14 trillion, the equivalent of $50,000 to $120,000 for every U.S. household) was foregone due to the 2007-2009 recession. We also provide several alternative measures of lost consumption, national trauma, and other negative consequences of the worst recession since the 1930s. This more comprehensive evaluation of factors suggests that what the U.S. gave up as a result of the crisis is likely greater than the value of one years output.

Keywords: Financial Crisis, Great Recession, Output Loss

Related:

Econbrowser: Why Is Inflation So Low? August 1, 2013

08/02/13

Permalink 08:17:14 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 5 words   English (US)
Categories: News, Media, Technology, Innovation

Keywords: google, Smartphone, Moto X

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