Keyword(s): deflation
10/22/11
Kazuo Ueda, Japan's Bubble, America's Bubble and China's Bubble, The University of Tokyo, November 2010
Abstract:
"This paper compares the three recent episodes of boom and bust cycles in asset prices: Japan in the late 1980s to the 1990s; the U.S.… more »
09/20/11
Project Syndicate: Countering the Contagious West, by Mohamed A. El-Erian (Pimco), Sept. 19, 2011
Imagine for a moment that you are the chief policymaker in a successful emerging-market country. You are watching with legitimate concern (and a mixtur… more »
09/12/11
We thank CA and Common Stock Partners for the tip:"The Swings to the Upside were Speculative, Debt Ridden, Bear Market Traps The attached chart shows the volatility of the U.S. stock market from 1994 to present (see attachment - credit to MarketS… more »
09/02/11
06:58:04 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com 
, 532 words 
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Europe
FT: Struggling with a great contraction, Martin Wolf, August 30, 2011"In neither the US nor the eurozone, does the politician supposedly in charge – Barack Obama, the US president, and Angela Merkel, Germany’s chancellor – appear to be much more than… more »
08/20/11
09:01:21 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com, 117 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Europe
Telegraph: Bond markets signal 'Japanese' slump for US and Europe, August 18, 2011
The global credit markets are braced for deflation and perhaps depression.
Panic flight to safety has pushed the yield on 10-year US Treasuries below 2pc for the fir… more »
04/25/11
06:59:54 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 309 words
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Global
Following paper points to the problem of a "jobless recovery" in the US. It shows the various dilemmas of the US policy makers: more fiscal spending to avoid a jobless recovery, leading to even higher short-term deficitsDevaluation of the dollar,… more »
04/22/11
11:35:45 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 41 words
Categories: Economics Global, Economics Asia
Yang Yao Yang, Director of the China Center for Economic Reform at Peking University, presents an idea of how China could avoid inflation:
Project Syndicate: China Should Import Deflation, by Yang Yao, April 21, 2011
Keywords: Chinese Economy, Chin… more »
04/15/11
06:31:06 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 143 words
Categories: Economics Global, Economics Asia
Project Syndicate: China's Bad Growth Bet, by Nouriel Roubini, April 14, 2011I recently took two trips to China just as the government launched its 12th Five-Year Plan to rebalance the country’s long-term growth model. My visits deepened my view that… more »
01/20/11
Mark Blyth (professor of Brown University) about Europe's and in particular Germany's options:
Out of the Crooked Timber: The End Game for the Euro: German Rules and Bondholder Revolts, Jan. 18, 2011
The end game for the Germans, and the rest of E… more »
12/29/10
This is a new working paper by George Mason University's Peter J. Boettke:
Boettke, Peter J. and Coyne, Christopher J., The Debt-Inflation Cycle and the Global Financial Crisis (December 21, 2010). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1729228… more »
12/22/10
John Mauldin explains that it was an advantage for Iceland to have its own currency when it had to implement its austerity measures. Not having that, Ireland is in a much more difficult situation, Mauldin explains:Financial Sense: Kicking the Can Dow… more »
12/04/10
Barry Eichengreen thinks that the current Irish rescue package is economically not feasible und thus hardly sustainable:
VOX: Ireland’s rescue package: Disaster for Ireland, bad omen for the Eurozone, by Barry Eichengreen (Berkeley), Dec. 3, 2010
I… more »
11/27/10
A LOT has been written recently, pro and con, about the Fed’s new round of quantitative easing, dubbed QE2. But, frankly, much of the discussion on both sides lacks a coherent analytical framework for thinking about the key issues. I try here to provide… more »
11/23/10
Here is a good piece of John H. Makin about quantitative easing: AEI: Bernanke Battles U.S. Deflation Threat, by John H. Makin, Nov. 2010. He explains that QE should just be one element of a set of measures:"A second phase of quantitative eas… more »
11/16/10
Jeff Frenkel (Harvard): The pot again calls the kettle red, Republicans, Democrats, the Fed and QE2, Nov. 15, 2010"Some conservatives are attacking current U.S. monetary policy as being too expansionary, as likely to lead to excessive inflation and d… more »
10/23/10
The European Central Bank should worry less about the “phantom risk” of inflation and instead focus on the rising threat of deflation which could result from a currency war, economist Nouriel Roubini said in an article for Roubini Global Economics client… more »
10/09/10
06:47:05 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com , 448 words
Categories: Global natural Resources Trends
The Economist: The oil problem, October 8, 2010
"JED GRAHAM raises an interesting possibility in a new piece at Investors.com:
“Even before the anticipated launch of the next round of Treasury purchases — it’s expected to be made official on Nov. 3… more »
10/08/10
China must fix the global currency crisis
George Soros
Financial Times October 8, 2010
I share the growing concern about the misalignment of currencies. Brazil's finance minister speaks of a latent currency war, and he is not far off the mark. It… more »
10/07/10
Project Syndicate: Premature Virtue, by George Soros, October 5, 2010
The Obama administration’s insistence on fiscal rectitude is dictated not by financial necessity, but by political considerations. The United States is not one of Europe’s heavily i… more »
09/28/10
EuroIntelligence: How to restore current account imbalances in a symmetric way, Sept. 24, 2010The sovereign debt crisis in Southern Europe is a reminder that increasing indebtedness can become unsustainable, whether that indebtedness accrues to the g… more »
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