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Economics

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08/16/10


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The Wall Street Journal about Europe's "two-speed economy"

Permalink 07:11:40 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 143 words   English (US)

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Categories: Economics Europe

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WSJ: Europe's Two-Speed Dilemma, August 16, 2010

Germany is traditionally afraid of inflation and wants the ECB to step on the brakes:

"Germany, ever fearful of inflation, is encouraging him to continue the exit strategy that has seen excess liquidity drop from €300 billion to €100 billion, and the three-month interbank rate rise by over 20 basis points, according to AllianceBernstein estimates. But Germany's euroland partners have no desire to see Mr. Trichet step on the brakes. They prefer him to keep his foot on the accelerator, and continue supporting troubled banks, even if he must face down a tirade from that ever-present speed cop, Angela Merkel."

read the WSJ article here

Keywords: ECB, European Monetary Policy, European Economy, Germany

Related:

"There are still some pretty serious problems in terms of the government finances in the peripheral parts of Europe," says James Shugg from Westpac Bank:










Permalink 07:01:39 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 30 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

08/15/10

Permalink 06:34:32 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 0 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics Europe
Permalink 05:46:05 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 55 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Europe

The Becker Posner Blog: Germany vs. US: Two Different Approaches to the Recession-Becker, Becker, August 9, 2010

When looking at the recovery speed of the two economies one should also compare the development of the real estate markets, a major factor in private wealth:

Marketobservation: "Reckless Europe beats reckless America at property bubbles", by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, August 5, 2010

08/14/10

Permalink 11:03:37 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 6 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

Keywords: US Economy, Recovery, Double Dip

Permalink 10:00:54 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 16 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

July 26, 2010

Lael Brainard on Wikipedia

Keywords: US Policy, Global Financial Crisis, Regulation of the Financial System

Permalink 09:29:49 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 174 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

A view which could not win a majority at the moment:

WSJ: Fed’s Hoenig: Rates Need to Rise, Aug. 13, 2010

The U.S. economy is recovering and the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates, lest it leave in place a policy that will only fuel future financial imbalances, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Thomas Hoenig said Friday.

“We need to get off of the emergency rate of zero, move rates up slowly and deliberately,” which will bring policy in better alignment “with the economy’s slow, deliberate recovery,” the official said. While the markets may like the current stance of monetary policy, Hoenig said “I wish free money was really free and that there was a painless way to move from severe recession and high leverage to robust and sustainable economic growth, but there is no short cut.” read more in the Wall Street Journal

Keywords: Fed Rate, Interest Rates

Related:

CNBC: Fed's Hoenig: Keeping Rates Too Low 'Dangerous Gamble', Friday 13, 2010

CNBC: The Fed Can Print More Money, But It Can’t Print Jobs, August 10, 2010

Permalink 09:15:56 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 186 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics Europe

NYT: Strong German Growth Lifts European Output, August 13, 2010

The euro area economy grew 1 percent in the second quarter of this year, a much better rate than had been expected, as Germany’s best quarterly performance since reunification compensated for slow growth in Spain and Italy and a sharp decline in Greece, according to data released Friday.

The rise in gross domestic product in the 16-country area that uses the euro currency was the fastest in four years, Eurostat, the European Union’s statistics office, reported. It compared with a 0.2 percent rise in the first quarter.

Economists cautioned that Europe would not maintain that rate of growth all year. And the figures also highlighted the sharp divergence in growth rates between Germany and the South European countries that are at the heart of the Continent’s sovereign debt crisis.

“The 2.2 percent surge in Germany sits uncomfortably alongside a 1.5 percent contraction in Greece, which remains firmly in recession, and only modest growth of 0.2 percent in Spain and 0.4 percent in Italy,” Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit, a data provider, wrote in a note.
read more

Keywords: Euro, European Union, European Economy

08/13/10

Permalink 07:29:48 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 162 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics Europe

Guardian.co.uk: Greece's economy deeper in recession than forecast• Second-quarter GDP in Greece estimated to have fallen by 3.5% year-on-year • Record jump in Greek unemployment prompts that crisis could intensify social unrest, August 12, 2010

Greece's recession deepened more than expected in the second quarter of 2010 after the country was rocked by its financial crisis and a series of government measures to slash public debt.

Investment dropped and public spending slumped in the three months to June as Greek politicians battled to regain the confidence of financial markets and meet the conditions of a multibillion-euro bailout from the European Union and International Monetary Fund.

There was also a fresh warning sign that the economic crisis could further intensify social unrest, after a record jump in unemployment. The crisis has already led to widespread industrial action and public protests.

With the fiscal squeeze only just starting, Greece is expected to remain mired in recession for the rest of this year.
read more

Keywords: Greece, Greek Crisis

Permalink 07:26:13 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 23 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics Global

Highly readable!

VOX: Debt and growth revisited, by Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, August 11, 2010

Keywords: Sovereign Debt, Debt Crisis, Debt and Growth

08/12/10

Permalink 10:41:59 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 5 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States










Keywords: US Economy, Fed Policy

Permalink 03:57:44 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 101 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

Tim Duy's Fed Watch: Trade Deficit Explodes: August 11, 2010

In his recent NYT editorial, US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner proclaimed:

Even the surge in imports, which lowered the rate of increase of G.D.P., actually reflects healthy and growing American demand.

I imagine that he must then be thrilled by today's trade report, which revealed the trade deficit swelled by $7.9 billion on the back of an explosion of imports. Analysts were quick to note that the new figures will contribute to another downward revision to the already disappointing Q2 GDP report:
read more

Keywords: US Trade Deficit, US GDP, US Recession, Double Dip

Permalink 07:40:16 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 6 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics Global

Keywords: Nouriel Roubini, Deflation, China Growth

Permalink 07:34:52 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 49 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

MarketWatch: Shiller sees double-dip recession if jobs aren't created, August 11, 2010

The U.S. economy has a "significant likelihood" of entering a double-dip recession if the government doesn't step in to help the unemployed, economist Robert Shiller told MarketWatch News Break on Wednesday. read more

Keywords: US Economy, Unemployment, Douple Dip

08/11/10

Permalink 07:57:12 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 5 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics Asia

Keywords: China, Growth in China

Permalink 07:51:29 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 77 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics Europe

Vox: Cutting the corruption tax Paul Romer, August 11, 2010

For many, corruption and political cronyism are seen as an inevitable part of Greek politics. This column argues that the same could have been said in the 1970s about Hong Kong, now a beacon of low corruption. Hong Kong managed this turnaround by appointing a non-elected governor accountable to the UK government. Greece could achieve the same by calling on the EU and start counting the benefits. read more

08/10/10

Permalink 09:04:29 pm, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 6 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States










Keywords: Federal Reserve Board, Policy Effectiveness

Permalink 07:56:15 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 37 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States, Economics Europe

Certain hedge fund managers, crowding analysts and alleged economic exports predicted the death of the Euro just weeks ago. Let's see whether the current revival is sustainable...

ECB: Euro versus US Dollar

Keywords: Euro, Dollar, Exchange Rate

Permalink 07:40:39 am, by editor of MarketObservation.com Email , 56 words   English (US)
Categories: Economics United States

NYT: Fed Will Meet With Concerns on Deflation Rising, August 9, 2010

The Federal Reserve will meet on Tuesday faced with a pivotal decision about whether to abandon its presumption that the economy is gradually picking up steam and begin to consider new steps to keep the recovery from sputtering out. read more

Keywords: Federal Reserve Board, Deflation

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